Topic / Subject
Phil Jackson “40-20 rule” is making the rounds only three teams have hit the benchmark so far: OKC, Detroit, and San Antonio.
TL;DR
The rule is a classic “pretender filter,” but the teams listed are the real headline. Thunder makes sense, Pistons and Spurs being the only teams to meet the rule, is what set the internet off.
Key Details
- Phil Jackson’s “40-20 rule” is commonly summed up as: a real title contender reaches 40 wins before taking 20 losses.
- NBA on ESPN posted a graphic saying only three teams meet the criteria so far this season: Oklahoma City Thunder, Detroit Pistons, and San Antonio Spurs.
- Yahoo Sports also framed this season’s “40-20” list as having three teams.
- This is a heuristic, not an official NBA metric, and it’s being used more as debate fuel than a prediction model.
Breakdown
The “40-20 rule” has survived for one reason: it’s easy to understand. If you’re dropping 20 losses before you hit 40 wins, you probably have flaws that show up in a seven-game series.
So when ESPN/NBA on ESPN posts a graphic saying only three teams qualify, that’s already spicy. But the specific trio is what turned it into instant timeline bait.
OKC being there? Totally believable. The surprise is the graphic listing Detroit and San Antonio, two teams fans don’t usually associate with “contender benchmark” talk. That’s why this is trending as a “who’s real?” argument starter, not a calm standings post.
Also worth remembering: even if the rule has history, it’s not destiny. Teams have broken “rules” before, and the playoffs have a way of humbling tidy narratives.
What to Watch Next
- Whether ESPN’s social graphic gets clarified, updated, or corrected if needed.
- Which teams are closest to joining the “40 wins before 20 losses” club next.
- The bigger takeaway: how often fans use one stat-rule to crown contenders (or dunk on rivals) all spring.
Sources
Yahoo Sports — Phil Jackson’s ‘40-20’ rule for NBA title contenders has 3 members this season
NBA on ESPN — Facebook post (Graphic)
Comment
Do you still believe in the 40-20 rule as a real contender filter, or is it just a fun social-media trap now?


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